AUD/USD made fresh 2016 lows; can it recover?

By FXStreet FXStreet (Guatemala) – AUD/USD is not offering more than a phase of consolidation, despite a pop on the upside post the US CPI misses for Dec.

US CPI for December fell 0.1% mom vs a consensus 0.0% mom expectations. The Aussie has otherwise been in decline since the start of the year on the back of the Chinese crisis and its vulnerability to the uncertainty that 2016 brings to markets. Investors have been looking for safe havens, as evident in AUD/JPY, and the yield of the Aussie/carry trade has otherwise been abandoned. However, is that about to change?

Much will depend on China and whether investors are confident enough that they are willing to take risks i the flight for yield on the otherwise idle capital. The Aussie can recovery in such appetite but much will depend on whether the Yuan can continue to stabilize and if the Chinese economy can avoid a hard landing in H1 so that the RBA can continue to simply monitor and watch whether the economy can meet growth expectations supported by dubiously strong Aussie jobs sector that is less reliant on the mining sector.

AUD/USD levels

Technically, however, AUD/USD risks remain to the …read more

Source:: FX Street