NZD/USD: capped and reversing the recovery

By FXStreet FXStreet (Guatemala) – NZD/USD struggles to recover with conviction, drawn back by the 200 sma on the hourly chart and capped at last week’s 0.6560 and unable to recover much further through 0.6520 on additional attempts. The week kicked off in Asia with a risk-off mood across the board while for the bird specifically, we have the RBNZ to plan ahead for.

2016 has come about with a quick flight to safety considering the uncertainties that lie ahead. So far, it has all been about China and oil with the Central Banks sidelined for the most part, but this week will deliver both the FOMC and RBNZ. “We do not expect fresh action from any, but we concede that a rate cut by the central bank of New Zealand would be the least surprising. It is already in an easing mode,” warned analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman. “

Last week, a 0.5% q/q decline in New Zealand’s Q4 CPI was reported. It was twice the decline that market expected and brought the year-over-year rate to 0.1% from 0.4% in Q3. Falling milk prices are an additional headwind. We suspect officials prefer to avoid policy changes given …read more

Source:: FX Street