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US results signal ‘no hike’ this month – ING

By FXStreet FXStreet (Edinburgh) – Rob Carnell, Analyst at ING Bank, suggested that today’s poor releases in the US docket could prompt the Fed to stay on the sidelines at its meeting on Thursday.

Key Quotes

“US August industrial production was even softer than consensus expectations, falling 0.4% mom (cons = -0.2%), with manufacturing down 0.5%mom (cons = -0.3%)”.

“Much of the weakness was in the vehicles sector, and when this is stripped out, production was flat on the month – still not great however, and this ex-vehicles segment has been flat, down or very weak for months now”.

“If there are any bright spots, it is in utilities, which rose 0.6%, though mining put in another fall of 0.6%”.

“All in all, weak, disappointing, and taken together with other data earlier today – retail sales and Empire manufacturing, nudges the argument in the direction of the FOMC doves”.

“With only CPI left to come before the September 17th meeting, and that likely to be on the low side, the data dependent FOMC might find the pendulum swinging a little more to the “no hike” side”.
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Source:: FX Street

      

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